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Posts tagged: hypothesis testing

  • What a p-value Actually Measures

    A p-value is not the probability the null hypothesis is true, not a measure of effect size, and not a verdict on whether a finding is real. Here is what it is.

    May 7, 2026

    • p-value
    • hypothesis testing
    • null hypothesis
    • significance
    • undergraduate
  • Type I and Type II Errors: The Trade-Off You Can't Avoid

    False positives and false negatives are not both minimizable at once. The threshold that reduces one will increase the other. Where it gets set is a choice, and it matters.

    May 7, 2026

    • hypothesis testing
    • type I error
    • type II error
    • significance level
    • ROC curve
    • undergraduate

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